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By Michael Snyder - The Economic Collapse Blog February 16, 2016
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350,000 soldiers, 20,000 tanks, 2,450 warplanes and 460 military
helicopters are massing in northern Saudi Arabia for a military exercise
that is being called "Northern Thunder".
According to the official announcement, forces are being
contributed by Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Jordan,
Bahrain, Sudan, Kuwait, Morocco, Pakistan, Tunisia, Oman, Qatar,
Malaysia and several other nations.
This
exercise will reportedly last for 18 days, and during that time the
airspace over northern Saudi Arabia will be closed to air traffic. This
will be the largest military exercise in the history of the region, and
it comes amid rumors that Saudi Arabia and Turkey are preparing for a
massive ground invasion of Syria.
If you were
going to gather forces for an invasion, this is precisely how you would
do it. Governments never come out and publicly admit that forces are
moving into position for an invasion ahead of time, so military
exercises are a common excuse that gets used for this sort of thing.
If
these exercises are actually being used as an excuse to mass forces
near the northern Saudi border, then we should expect an invasion to
begin within the next couple of weeks. If it happens, we should expect
to see the Saudi coalition storm through western Iraq and into Syria
from the south, and it is likely that Turkey will come in from the
north.
The goal would be to take out the Assad
regime before Russia, Iran and Hezbollah could react. For the past
couple of years, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and their allies have been funding
the Sunni insurgency in Syria, and they were counting on those
insurgents to be able to take down the Assad regime by themselves.
You
see, the truth is that ISIS was never supposed to lose in Syria. Saudi
Arabia and her allies have been funneling massive amounts of money to
ISIS, and hundreds of millions of dollars of ISIS oil has been shipped
into Turkey where it is sold to the rest of the world.
The
major Sunni nations wanted ISIS and the other Sunni insurgent groups to
take down Assad. In the aftermath, Saudi Arabia and her allies
intended to transform Syria into a full-blown Sunni nation.
But
then Russia, Iran and Hezbollah stepped forward to assist the Assad
regime. Russian air support completely turned the tide of the war, and
now the Sunni insurgents are on the brink of losing.
Aleppo
was once the largest city in Syria, and Sunni insurgents have
controlled it since 2012. But now relentless Russian airstrikes have
made it possible for Syrian, Iranian and Hezbollah ground forces to
surround the city, and it is about to fall back into the hands of the
Syrian government.
If this happens, the war will essentially be over.
Saudi
Arabia, Turkey and their allies have invested massive amounts of time,
money and effort into overthrowing Assad, and they aren t about to walk
away now.
If the war was to end right at this
moment, a weakened Assad regime would remain in power, and Iran and
Hezbollah would be the dominant powers in the country for years to come.
And once Assad died, it would be inevitable that Iran and Hezbollah
would attempt to transform Syria into a full-blown Shiite nation. This
is something that Saudi Arabia and Turkey want to avoid at all costs.
So they are actually considering what was once absolutely unthinkable a massive ground invasion of Syria.
But
if Saudi Arabia, Turkey and their allies go in, they run the risk of a
full-blown war with Russia, Iran and Hezbollah. Just consider some of
the comments that we have seen in recent days...
Reacting
to a potential troop deployment, Syrian Foreign Minister Walid
al-Muallem said Saturday, "Let no one think they can attack Syria or
violate its sovereignty because I assure you any aggressor will return
to their country in a wooden coffin."
Pavel
Krasheninnikov, a deputy of Russia s State Duma, has warned Saudi Arabia
that any military ground operation in Syria without Damascus consent
would amount to a declaration of war, Press TV reported.
We
could literally be looking at the spark that sets off World War 3. I
can t believe that Saudi Arabia and Turkey are actually considering
this.
And if it does happen, you can rest assured that Barack Obama gave them the green light to go in.
Unfortunately,
it sounds like the decision may have already been made. Just consider
what Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu is saying&
"If
we have such a strategy, then Turkey and Saudi Arabia may launch a
ground operation," he added, fueling concerns that a foreign troop
invasion may soon further complicate the already turbulent situation in
the war-torn country.
Earlier, Saudi Arabia,
Bahrain and the UAE voiced their readiness to contribute troops for a
ground operation in Syria on the condition that the US would lead the
intervention. Damascus and its key regional ally, Iran, warned that such
a foreign force would face strong resistance.
And
in addition to all of the forces massing in northern Saudi Arabia, the
London Independent is reporting that the Saudis have sent troops and
aircraft to a military base in Turkey...
Saudi Arabia is sending troops and fighter jets to Turkey s Incirlik military base ahead of a possible ground invasion of Syria.
The
Turkish foreign minister, Mevlut Cavusoglu, confirmed the deployment in
a statement to the Yeni ^afak newspaper on Saturday, days before a
temporary ceasefire is due to come into force.
There
are reports that Saudi officials are saying that the decision to send
in ground troops is "irreversible", and Reuters is reporting that the
Syrian government claims that some Turkish troops have already entered
the country&
The Syrian government says
Turkish forces were believed to be among 100 gunmen it said entered
Syria on Saturday accompanied by 12 pick-up trucks mounted with heavy
machine guns, in an ongoing supply operation to insurgents fighting
Damascus.
"The operation of supplying
ammunition and weapons is continuing via the Bab al-Salama crossing to
the Syrian area of Azaz," the Syrian foreign ministry said in a letter
to the U.N. Security Council published by state news agency SANA.
Of
course the Turkish government is not going to confirm that report, but
what we do know is that Turkey is shelling Kurdish forces on the Syrian
side of the border. The funny thing is that these Kurdish forces are
actually being supported and supplied by the U.S. government.
So
the Turks are not supposed to be doing this, but according to Reuters
they have been doing it for two days in a row anyway&
The
Turkish army shelled positions held by Kurdish-backed militia in
northern Syria for a second day on Sunday, killing two fighters, the
Syrian Observatory for Human Rights monitoring group said.
Turkey
on Saturday demanded the powerful Syrian Kurdish YPG militia withdraw
from areas that it had captured in the northern Aleppo region in recent
days from insurgents in Syria, including the Menagh air base. The
shelling has targeted those areas.
The hostility between Turkey and the Kurds goes back a
long, long way. The Syrian Kurds are not threatening Turkey in any way
right now, but Turkey is using the instability in the region as an
excuse to lob artillery shells at a hated enemy. It is an act of naked
aggression that the Obama administration should be loudly denouncing.
In addition, it is being reported that Syrian government forces have also been getting shelled by the Turkish military...
Anatolia
news agency reported that the Turkish military hit Syrian government
forces on Saturday, adding that the shelling had been in response to
fire inflicted on a Turkish military guard post in Turkey s southern
Hatay region.
Turkish artillery targeted Syrian
forces again late on Saturday, according to a military source quoted by
RIA Novosti. The attack targeted the town of Deir Jamal in the Aleppo
Governorate.
Needless to say, the Russians are quite alarmed by all of this.
In fact, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev is warning about what could happen if things spiral out of control&
In
the wake of Saudi Arabia s proposal to send in ground troops on
Thursday, the Russian Prime Minister claimed the move could spark a new
world war.
"A ground operation draws everyone taking part in it into a war," he told the Handelsblatt newspaper.
"The Americans and our Arab partners must consider whether or not they want a permanent war."
If
Saudi Arabia, Turkey and their allies launch an invasion and make a mad
dash to take out the Assad regime in Damascus, the Russians will
inevitably respond.
And if tactical nuclear
weapons are necessary to keep the invading forces out of Damascus, the
Russians will not be shy about using them.
I
don t know if I have ever seen a scenario which was more likely to
initiate World War 3 than the one that we are watching unfold right now.
So what has the mainstream media been saying about all of this?
Incredibly,
they have been almost entirely silent. When he went looking for news
about these events, James Bailey could find almost nothing on either Fox
News or CNN&
I just visited the home page
for Foxnews.com and found not one single mention of the insane events
now unfolding in the Middle East. I could not believe it, so I used my
Find tool to search for Syria and Saudi Arabia. Not one mention!
Of
course that could change at any moment, but nothing there when I
checked. Their stories were all about the meaningless Presidential
election, which has already been decided regardless of what we think
about it, and other stories about entertainment, sports, Congressional
political theater, etc.
So I went to CNN and
found just about the same thing with one news story about the Syrian
cease fire, but when I read it there was no mention of any of the big
events that have developed this week. This is truly an amazing media
blackout!
But Fox News does have space to run headlines like these...
Spanish man skipped work for 6 years, still got paid
48 people rescued from stuck tram cars at New Hampshire ski resort
Lovelorn elephant takes out his rage on more than a dozen cars
And CNN apparently thinks that these news stories are more important than the potential beginning of World War 3...
Kanye West drops album, says he s $53 million in debt
Dutch cops train eagles to hunt drones
Teen hands out 900 flowers to girls at school
If
Saudi Arabia, Turkey and their allies are going to conduct an invasion
of Syria, the most likely time for this to happen will be by the end of
this month during these military exercises.
If we can get to March 1st and no invasion has happened yet, perhaps we can breathe a little sigh of relief.
But if it does happen, and the Russians and the Iranians decide to shoot back, it really could be the start of World War 3.
If you have not been paying attention up until now, you need to start, because this could literally change
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